【环球财经】国际金价波动加剧

Core Viewpoint - Recent significant drop in international gold prices, following a period of record highs, attributed to profit-taking by investors and a technical correction after a prolonged overbought market [1][2] Group 1: Price Movements - International gold prices fell approximately 8% over two days, resulting in a market value loss exceeding $2.5 trillion [1] - Gold futures reached a historic high of $4014.60 per ounce on October 7, with prices nearing $4390 per ounce on October 16, marking a nearly 60% increase year-to-date [1] Group 2: Factors Influencing Price Changes - Key drivers for the recent surge in gold prices include rising economic and geopolitical uncertainties, U.S. government shutdown concerns, inflation fears, significant central bank gold purchases, and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1][2] - The strong U.S. dollar, easing geopolitical tensions, and optimistic views on trade disputes have contributed to the recent profit-taking by investors [2] Group 3: Market Analysis and Predictions - Analysts describe the recent price drop as a typical "technical correction" after an unprecedented price increase, indicating that the market had been overbought for some time [2] - Most market institutions predict that gold prices will likely remain high in the short term, with a continued upward trend in the medium to long term [2] - Citibank forecasts a potential consolidation phase for gold prices if U.S. government shutdown issues are resolved and trade tensions ease, while Goldman Sachs views the drop as a technical correction without altering the long-term macroeconomic backdrop [2] - Standard Chartered has raised its 2026 average gold price forecast from $3875 to $4488 per ounce, citing increasing global uncertainties and strong investment demand for gold [3]