高市早苗如愿了，但“还债”的日子还在后边

Core Points - The election of Sanae Takaichi as Japan's first female Prime Minister is marked by significant political compromises, particularly with the Japan Innovation Party, raising concerns about her stability in office [1][5] - The collaboration between Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party includes contentious policies that may lead to internal conflicts and challenges for the LDP [2][4] Group 1: Political Compromises - Takaichi's ascension to the Prime Minister position involved accepting 12 stringent conditions from the Japan Innovation Party, indicating a "political debt" that must be repaid [1] - The Japan Innovation Party's demand for a "Vice Capital Concept" aims to decentralize power from the national government, which could weaken the LDP's influence in Osaka [2][3] Group 2: Policy Implications - The proposed "Vice Capital Concept" could require significant financial resources, with estimates suggesting a need for at least 7.5 trillion yen (approximately 352 billion RMB) if half of the central administrative functions are relocated [2] - The Japan Innovation Party's push to reduce the number of proportional representation seats in the Diet by 10% primarily targets opposition parties, which may lead to backlash from within the LDP [3][4] Group 3: Internal Conflicts - Takaichi's acceptance of the Japan Innovation Party's conditions, including the ban on corporate political donations, poses a threat to the LDP's funding sources, potentially leading to internal dissent [5] - The lack of full commitment to the Japan Innovation Party's demands in the coalition agreement suggests underlying tensions and a lack of trust between the two parties [5]