Analyst Explains What ‘Caught’ His Attention About Oracle (ORCL)- ‘Late-90s Kind of Vibes’

Group 1 - Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) is gaining attention due to its ambitious guidance for cloud revenue, projecting an increase from $10 billion last year to $17-18 billion this year, and aiming for $144 billion by 2030, representing a 14-fold increase [1] - The competitive landscape in the cloud business includes major players like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, raising questions about revenue generation and efficiency over the next decade [1] - A significant catalyst for Oracle's recent market activity is a 5-year contract with OpenAI valued at $300 billion, which implies an annual contract value of $60 billion starting in 2027 [2] Group 2 - In 2026, five hyperscaler companies, including Oracle, are expected to collectively spend $405 billion on capital expenditures (CAPEX), primarily focused on AI infrastructure [3]