US existing home sales rise to seven-month high in September

Core Insights - U.S. existing home sales reached a seven-month high in September, increasing by 1.5% to an annual rate of 4.06 million units, the highest since February [1][2] - The increase in home sales is attributed to falling mortgage rates and improving housing affordability, despite rising economic uncertainty and a stalled labor market [2][3] Sales Performance - Home sales rose 4.1% year-over-year, with increases noted in the Northeast, South, and West regions, while the Midwest experienced a decline [2] - The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is at a one-year low of 6.27%, down from 7.04% in January, contributing to the rise in sales [2] Economic Context - A government shutdown has delayed the release of official economic data, including the employment report for September, leading to concerns about muted hiring due to economic uncertainty [3] - The shutdown has also affected real estate transactions, particularly in flood-prone areas where necessary insurance is unavailable [4] Inventory and Pricing - The inventory of existing homes increased by 14.0% year-over-year to 1.550 million units, although it remains below pre-pandemic levels [4] - The median existing home price rose by 2.1% year-over-year to $415,200, with current inventory expected to last 4.6 months at the September sales pace [5] Market Dynamics - Properties stayed on the market for an average of 33 days, up from 28 days a year ago, indicating a slight slowdown in sales velocity [6] - First-time buyers represented 30% of sales, an increase from 26% a year ago, though a 40% share is considered necessary for a robust housing market [6]