三季度工业增速超预期 后续走势如何

Core Insights - China's macroeconomic policies have become more proactive this year, leading to a rapid growth in industrial production, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2% in industrial added value for the first three quarters, serving as a stabilizing force for the macro economy [1][2] - In September, the industrial added value grew by 6.5% year-on-year, marking a 1.3 percentage point acceleration from August and reaching a three-month high [1][2] Industrial Growth - The manufacturing sector saw a growth of 6.8%, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 0.6 percentage points, while mining and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply grew by 5.8% and 2.0%, respectively [2] - Out of 41 major industrial categories, 37 experienced year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 90.2% [2] - Industrial exports improved significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 3.3% in the first three quarters, and a notable recovery in September with a growth of 3.8% [2] Sectoral Performance - The equipment manufacturing sector's added value grew by 9.7%, accounting for 35.9% of the total industrial output, highlighting its stabilizing role [7] - Key industries such as automotive, electrical machinery, and electronics grew by 11.2%, 11.1%, and 10.9%, respectively, contributing significantly to overall industrial growth [7] - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 9.6%, contributing 24.7% to the overall industrial growth, with notable increases in the production of new energy vehicles and related components [7][8] Policy Support and Future Outlook - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has introduced various support measures for ten key industries, which collectively account for about 70% of the industrial sector, aiming to stabilize industrial economic performance [9] - Analysts expect that the development of new productive forces and the implementation of new policy financial tools will continue to support industrial production growth [9]