ZACKS·2025-10-23 15:21Core Insights - The Zacks Retail – Supermarkets industry is capitalizing on consistent consumer demand and enhancing AI-driven omnichannel strategies to improve convenience, efficiency, and personalization, which strengthens the competitive positions of major players like Walmart and Kroger [1][4]. Industry Overview - The industry encompasses supermarket retailers offering a wide range of products, including groceries, health and beauty aids, and household items, operating through various formats such as supermarkets, discount stores, and hypermarkets [3]. - E-commerce has significantly transformed the industry, with retailers enhancing pickup and delivery services to meet the rising consumer preference for online shopping [3]. Major Trends - Supermarket chains are focusing on integrating digital and physical retail to create a seamless shopping experience, investing in modern store formats and smarter inventory systems [4]. - The adoption of online grocery shopping remains strong, prompting retailers to accelerate digital upgrades and implement services like same-day delivery and contactless checkout [4]. - AI is increasingly central to operations, facilitating real-time inventory management and personalized marketing [4]. Consumer Demand - Grocery retailers benefit from stable consumer demand due to the essential nature of food and household staples, with both in-store visits and online orders remaining robust [5]. - There is a growing consumer preference for fresh, healthy, and locally sourced options, driving repeat purchases and prompting retailers to adapt their product assortments [5]. Profit Margins - Supermarket players face pressure on profit margins due to rising labor costs, store refurbishments, and significant spending on e-commerce and technology upgrades [6]. - Additional challenges include higher import tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, which inflate procurement costs [6]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Retail – Supermarkets industry ranks 98, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating strong near-term prospects [7]. - The industry has outperformed the S&P 500, with a growth of 28.8% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's 17.5% [9]. Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.48X, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 23.39X [12]. Company Highlights - Walmart: The company benefits from a diversified business model and a strong omnichannel strategy, leading to increased traffic and market share gains. The consensus estimate for Walmart's EPS is $2.60, with shares rising 29% in the past year [15][16]. - Kroger: The company leverages a customer-first strategy and a robust private label portfolio, with a consensus EPS estimate of $4.79. Kroger's shares have increased by 21% over the past year [18][19].