国际观察|从德国最大贸易伙伴更替看美关税冲击
Xin Hua She·2025-10-23 22:41

Group 1 - The latest data from the Federal Statistical Office of Germany indicates that China has surpassed the United States as Germany's largest trading partner in the first eight months of 2025, largely due to U.S. tariffs and trade barriers [1] - Germany's exports to the U.S. from January to August amounted to €101 billion, a year-on-year decline of 6.5%, with August exports alone dropping to €10.9 billion, a 20.1% decrease compared to the previous year, marking the lowest level since November 2021 [1] - In contrast, trade between Germany and China showed resilience, with total bilateral trade reaching €166.3 billion in the same period [1] Group 2 - A survey by the German Chamber of Commerce reveals that over half of the surveyed companies plan to reduce trade with the U.S., and about a quarter are considering suspending or canceling investments in the U.S. due to the uncertainty caused by U.S. tariff policies [2] - The automotive and parts sector, a major source of trade surplus for Germany, has been significantly impacted since the U.S. imposed tariffs on imported cars and related goods in April, leading to a net job loss of approximately 51,500 in the German automotive industry over the past year [2] - Major companies like Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, Bosch, and Continental have announced spending cuts in response to the increased costs of German goods in the U.S. market due to high tariffs [2] Group 3 - The number of corporate bankruptcies in Germany reached a 12-year high in July, with expectations that over 22,000 companies will file for bankruptcy this year, averaging more than 60 per day [3] - The President of the German Central Bank noted that U.S. tariffs and policy uncertainty are suppressing economic growth in Germany, particularly affecting key industrial sectors [3] - The Munich Institute for Economic Research forecasts that Germany's economy will grow by only 0.2% in 2025 due to the ongoing impact of U.S. tariff policies and other factors [3]