Johnson Controls' Quarterly Earnings Preview: What You Need to Know

Core Insights - Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is a global leader in smart, sustainable building solutions with a market cap of $72.8 billion, providing advanced HVAC, fire, security, and energy management systems [1] Financial Performance - The company is expected to announce its fiscal Q4 2025 results on November 5, with analysts predicting an adjusted EPS of $1.20, a decrease of 6.3% from $1.28 in the same quarter last year [2] - For fiscal 2025, adjusted EPS is forecasted at $3.70, slightly down from $3.71 in fiscal 2024, but anticipated to rise 18.4% year-over-year to $4.38 in fiscal 2026 [3] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, JCI shares have increased by 42.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's gain of 14.9% and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund's return of 12.1% [4] Recent Developments - In Q3 2025, JCI reported an adjusted EPS of $1.05 and total revenue of $6.1 billion, but shares fell by 7.4% due to a 2% year-over-year increase in organic orders and an 8% decline in APAC orders [5] - The Americas segment, which is the largest revenue contributor, showed flat reported sales and a 150 basis point decline in EBITA margin to 18.4% [5] - The company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $3.65–$3.68, but the Q4 organic sales growth outlook of "low single digits" and modest margin expansion targets did not meet investor expectations [6] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view on JCI stock, with a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating; among 21 analysts, 12 recommend a "Strong Buy" and 9 suggest a "Hold" [7] - The average analyst price target for Johnson Controls is $116.53, indicating a potential upside of 7.3% from current levels [7]