Group 1 - Core viewpoint: CICC has initiated coverage on China Jinmao (00817) with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 1.86, reflecting a 10% discount to the projected net asset value (NAV) per share for 2025 [1] - Positive changes in management and strategy are noted, with manageable historical burdens and expected incremental flexibility, supported by improved management and focused strategy for value reconstruction [1] - CICC has a positive outlook for the real estate sector over the next 6 to 12 months, highlighting companies with strong organizational management and stable fundamentals as key investment targets, with China Jinmao being a major candidate [1] Group 2 - Based on conservative housing price assumptions, CICC estimates that the company's NAV will reach RMB 25.6 billion by the end of 2025, with significant growth potential if stable land acquisition investments continue beyond 2026 [1] - CICC forecasts earnings per share of RMB 0.10 and RMB 0.11 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2024 to 2026 [1] - The target price of HKD 1.86 is based on a 10% discount to the 2025 NAV, corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.6 times, indicating a potential upside of 29% [1]
中金：再次覆盖中国金茂(00817)予“跑赢行业”评级 目标价1.86港元