The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) is positioned to benefit from a normalization in cash balances, which will allow the company to pay down higher-cost debt and improve net interest margins (NIMs) to around 3% [2] - The integration of TD Ameritrade has been largely absorbed, with key indicators such as new accounts and net new assets returning to near-target levels, signaling a recovery in market share [2] - Strong equity markets have boosted trading activity and supported the balance sheet, improving capital ratios and liquidity [3] Financial Performance - SCHW's trailing and forward P/E ratios are 24.92 and 17.27 respectively, with a forward P/E of 18x reflecting solid earnings growth and operational momentum [1][3] - EPS growth is expected to exceed 20% in FY25, driven by improved net interest income and operational recovery [2] Investment Outlook - The company presents a stable investment opportunity with ongoing EPS growth and a strengthened balance sheet, although current valuation may be weighed against alternative opportunities [4] - The combination of recovering market share, improving NIMs, and strong capital positioning supports a constructive medium-term outlook, making the stock a Hold/Buy in the context of broader market conditions [4]