Shannon Semi(SZ:300475) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-24 06:37Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 9.276 billion yuan for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.58% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 202 million yuan, showing a year-over-year decrease of 3.11% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 42.81% [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 9.276 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 6.58% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 0.64% [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 202 million yuan, down 3.11% year-over-year but up 42.81% quarter-over-quarter [1][2]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 4.03% (YoY -0.5 percentage points, QoQ +0.81 percentage points) and a net margin of 2.11% (YoY -0.23 percentage points, QoQ +0.58 percentage points) [2]. Market Dynamics - The increase in demand and rising storage prices, along with changes in product structure, significantly boosted the company's performance in Q3 [2]. - The overall DRAM prices are expected to increase by 8-13% quarter-over-quarter, with HBM included, the increase could reach 13-18% [3]. - NAND Flash contract prices are projected to rise by 5-10% in Q4 due to supply shortages and increased demand [3]. Business Development - The company has established a "distribution + product" dual development model, focusing on high-end storage products [3]. - The distribution business has capabilities in providing data storage devices, control chips, and modules, widely applied in cloud computing storage [4]. - The company has made progress in developing enterprise-level SSD and RDIMM products through its subsidiary, Haipu Storage, and has completed R&D and trial production of various products [4]. Investment Outlook - The combination of reduced storage supply and released demand is expected to drive storage prices higher, with the subsidiary's domestic replacement process likely to contribute to performance growth [5]. - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 641 million yuan, 932 million yuan, and 1.257 billion yuan respectively, with a target price of 130.62 yuan based on a 65x PE for 2026 [5].