NextNav Inc. (NN): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - NextNav Inc. is positioned for growth through its 5G PNT proposal, which aims to coexist with existing federal and Part 15 users while deploying a high-power 5G network [2][5]. 5G PNT Proposal - The proposal involves a coexistence strategy for the 902–928 MHz band, focusing on protecting existing users while enhancing downlink power, creating a significant power gap that may challenge long-term coexistence [2][5]. - NextNav plans to implement mitigation measures such as stricter emission masks and retuning support for existing systems to facilitate this coexistence [2][5]. Federal Coordination - The federal use of the band includes various applications like DoD radar and border security, necessitating close coordination with federal agencies to prevent harmful interference [3]. - NextNav may need to establish geographical carveouts and real-time muting, which could impact the spectrum's value for mobile network operators [3]. Impact on Other Users - Part 18 ISM devices are largely unaffected due to their localized operation, while Part 15 devices may face displacement from the 918–928 MHz downlink due to the proposed power disparity [4][5]. - Independent real-world testing is required to validate the assumptions made regarding coexistence and the impact on unlicensed device operators [4][5]. Growth Opportunities and Challenges - The proposal represents a significant growth opportunity for NextNav, contingent on regulatory approval and successful coordination with existing users [5]. - The success of the 5G positioning network hinges on real-world deployment and verification, highlighting potential challenges for unlicensed device operators [5].