Edison International (EIX): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Edison International (EIX) is viewed positively due to its low valuation and potential for capital appreciation, despite legal risks associated with wildfires [1][4][5] Company Overview - Edison International is a California-focused electric utility company, primarily through its subsidiary Southern California Edison (SCE), serving approximately 50,000 square miles [2] - The stock price peaked at $87.75 in November 2024 but has since declined to around $52, largely due to wildfire-related concerns [2] Legal Risks - The company is linked to a wildfire that caused billions in damages, with the key risk being whether EIX is found negligent [3] - If deemed liable but non-negligent, EIX would pay about $4 billion, with the rest covered by government funds [3] - A finding of negligence could lead to uncapped liabilities, threatening financial stability, although there is currently no evidence of negligent behavior [4] Valuation and Investment Opportunity - EIX trades at a low price-to-earnings ratio of 8 compared to industry averages near 20, and offers a dividend yield of 6.19% [4] - The combination of a depressed stock price and strong cash return makes EIX an attractive opportunity for investors willing to accept legal uncertainties [4][5] Future Outlook - If legal matters resolve favorably, the stock could experience significant upside, while the underlying business remains stable with strong regulatory support and long-term growth prospects [5] - EIX presents a risk-adjusted investment case where patience through the resolution of contingent liabilities could yield both capital appreciation and consistent income [5] Hedge Fund Interest - Edison International is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 42 hedge fund portfolios holding EIX at the end of the second quarter, down from 44 in the previous quarter [7]