世界黄金协会：自戴”仍是中国金饰销售的核心驱动力

Core Insights - The World Gold Council's report indicates that while total demand for gold jewelry in China may decline in 2025 compared to 2024, consumer spending on gold jewelry is expected to remain high due to seasonal factors driving demand in the second half of the year [1][7]. Group 1: Demand and Spending Trends - In the first half of 2025, total demand for gold jewelry in China fell to 194 tons, a 28% year-on-year decrease, marking the lowest level for the first half of the year since 2009 [5]. - Despite the decline in demand volume, consumer spending on gold jewelry reached 137 billion RMB (approximately 19 billion USD), remaining stable compared to 2024 and not far from the historical peak of 163 billion RMB in 2013 [5][6]. - The proportion of spending driven by "self-wear" purchases increased to 37% in 2025, up from 27% in 2024, indicating a shift towards personal expression and self-satisfaction in jewelry purchases [1][31]. Group 2: Product Performance - Gold products continue to dominate sales in Chinese jewelry stores, with hard gold products outperforming other categories [4][12]. - The sales of ancient gold and hard gold jewelry remain the core profit sources for retailers, despite a general decline in the weight of gold jewelry sold [4][52]. - Retailers reported that 32% of respondents noted an increase in sales of hard gold products in the first half of 2025, making it the best-performing category among gold products [16]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior - The trend towards lighter-weight gold products is evident, with products weighing less than 10 grams accounting for 45% of total gold jewelry sales, up from 37% in 2023 [26][28]. - Young consumers, while still significant contributors to sales, showed a slight decrease in their spending contribution compared to older consumers, likely due to the rising gold prices affecting their purchasing power [36]. - The importance of "self-wear" purchases is reinforced, as this category remains the largest contributor to jewelry store sales, while wedding-related jewelry sales have declined from 24% in 2024 to 19% in 2025 [31][32]. Group 4: Retailer Outlook - Retailers maintain a positive outlook for gold product sales, with 47% expecting growth in the next 1-2 years, despite cautious inventory management due to rising gold prices and economic uncertainties [40][46]. - Over 60% of retailers plan to increase the proportion of lightweight gold products (under 10 grams) in their offerings, reflecting a strategic shift in response to consumer preferences [48]. - The trend of combining gold with other materials, such as enamel and various gemstones, is gaining traction, appealing to younger consumers seeking unique and fashionable designs [23][52].