ETF日报：展望后市，从中长期来看，美国再通胀乃至“滞涨”风险不断累积等因素对贵金属价格起到了利好支撑

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all three major indices open higher today, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high, closing at 3950.31 points, up 0.71% [1] - The Shenzhen Component rose by 2.02%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 3.57% [1] - Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 2 trillion yuan, an increase of over 300 billion yuan compared to the previous day, although still lower than previous levels [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor industry chain experienced a strong resurgence, with storage chips and GPU concepts leading the gains, while sectors like coal, gas, real estate, and liquor saw declines [1] - The coal sector showed weak performance, but there is still optimism regarding its investment value, with coal ETFs recording net inflows exceeding 500 million yuan over the past ten days [7] [8] Policy and Economic Factors - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes structural opportunities, supporting cyclical industries like real estate and home improvement under policies aimed at stabilizing the market [5] - The "anti-involution" policies are expected to stabilize profits in sectors such as steel, coal, and chemicals, providing solid support for the market [5] - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports are anticipated to influence market sentiment, with potential risks related to performance expectations [4][6] Investment Strategy - The current market sentiment suggests a cautious approach, with recommendations for a "core position + satellite rotation" strategy rather than aggressive trading [6] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with clear policy support, particularly in technology and anti-involution areas, which are likely to gain consensus among investors [9] Commodity Insights - The coal industry is expected to see marginal recovery due to rising spot prices and decreasing social inventory, with significant support from winter storage demand [8][13] - The gold market is experiencing a pullback after reaching historical highs, but long-term support remains strong due to macroeconomic factors and geopolitical tensions [12][15][16]