Phillips 66(US:PSX) ZACKS·2025-10-24 15:30Core Insights - Phillips 66 (PSX) is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expected at $2.07, reflecting a 1.5% year-over-year increase, while revenues are projected to decline by 17.3% to $29.9 billion [1][2][7] Earnings Performance - In the previous quarter, PSX reported adjusted earnings of $2.38 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.66, driven by increased refining volumes and higher refining margins [1] - PSX has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of approximately 19.2% [1] Revenue and Pricing Trends - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in the upcoming quarter is $29.9 billion, which represents a 17.3% decrease compared to the same period last year [2] - Average spot prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude in July, August, and September were $68.39, $64.86, and $63.96 per barrel, respectively, which are lower than the previous year's averages of $81.80, $76.68, and $70.24 [3] Business Segments - The softer pricing environment is expected to benefit PSX, as a significant portion of its earnings comes from the refining business [4] - The midstream segment is anticipated to generate stable cash flows, with a projected 5.1% year-over-year increase in pre-tax adjusted income [4] Earnings Expectations - Current analysis indicates that PSX is not expected to beat earnings this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a higher Zacks Rank typically increases the likelihood of an earnings beat, which is not the case for PSX this time [5] Comparative Stocks - BP and ConocoPhillips are mentioned as potential stocks to consider, with BP having an Earnings ESP of +1.87% and ConocoPhillips at +0.34% [6][8]