国内成品油或将迎年内第九跌 加满一箱油少花16元

Core Viewpoint - Domestic oil prices are expected to decrease next week due to the decline in international oil prices, with a projected reduction of approximately 300 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [4]. Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - The price adjustment window for refined oil will open on October 27, with a forecasted decrease of about 300 yuan per ton, marking the ninth reduction this year [4]. - For a typical 70-liter fuel tank, car owners will save around 16 yuan when filling up after the price adjustment [4][1]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The average price of crude oil during the current adjustment cycle has dropped by 6.39% compared to the previous cycle, leading to an increased forecast for the price reduction [4]. - OPEC+ has initiated a new production increase of 1.65 million barrels per day, raising concerns about long-term supply surplus, although short-term supply factors remain favorable [4]. - The demand side is experiencing seasonal weakness due to U.S. refineries entering their autumn maintenance period, contributing to an overall weak demand outlook [4]. Group 3: Historical Context - Since the beginning of the year, domestic oil prices have undergone twenty adjustments, resulting in six increases, eight decreases, and six periods of no change [4]. - Compared to the end of last year, gasoline and diesel prices have decreased by 270 yuan per ton and 260 yuan per ton, respectively [4].