Benzinga·2025-10-24 15:44Core Insights - The federal government shutdown is nearing the longest in history, significantly impacting various sectors, particularly airline travel, with increased flight delays and cancellations due to reduced FAA and air traffic control staffing [1][2][3] Airline Industry Impact - The shutdown has led to a decline in airline stocks, with the U.S. Global Jets ETF down 6.16% over the past 30 days [2] - Airlines are experiencing operational challenges, including halted FAA inspections and staffing shortages, which are affecting domestic routes and traveler confidence [3][12] Delta Airlines - Delta Airlines shares have decreased nearly 3% in the past week, but long-term prospects remain positive with earnings-per-share guidance of $5.25 to $6.25 and a cash flow outlook of $3 to $4 billion [4][6] - Analysts are optimistic about Delta, with 19 out of 21 analysts issuing strong buy ratings, and the stock is expected to rebound post-shutdown [5][6] American Airlines - American Airlines shares are trading at approximately $13, down 26.7% year-to-date, but are considered undervalued with expected demand increases around the holiday season [7][8] - JP Morgan has raised its price target for American Airlines from $17 to $20 per share, indicating potential for recovery [7] Southwest Airlines - Southwest Airlines has seen a nearly 5% decline in the past week but is viewed as a lower-risk investment due to its strong balance sheet and all-Boeing 737 fleet [9][10] - The airline is considered a conservative choice, likely to provide modest upside while being insulated from significant setbacks [10] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor key risks such as the government shutdown's progress, fuel prices, labor costs, and travel demand indicators [10][11] - A long-term investment horizon of 6–18 months is recommended for airline stocks, as buying the dip strategy typically requires time to realize gains [11]