Boston Beer Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Depletions Down 3% Y/Y

Core Insights - Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) reported third-quarter 2025 results with earnings per share of $4.25, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.78 and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 48.6. However, net revenues fell 11% year over year [1][9]. Financial Performance - Net revenues for the third quarter were $571.5 million, down 11% from the prior-year quarter, with revenues excluding excise taxes declining 11.2% to $537.5 million. This decline was attributed to lower shipment volumes, partially offset by higher pricing and a favorable product mix [2]. - Shipment volume decreased by 13.7% year over year to 1.9 million barrels, primarily due to lower volumes of Truly Hard Seltzer, Twisted Tea, and Samuel Adams, although brands like Sun Cruiser and Angry Orchard showed growth [3]. - Gross profit fell 2.5% year over year to $273.1 million, but gross margin improved by 450 basis points to 50.8%, driven by brewery efficiencies, procurement savings, and a favorable product mix [5][9]. Expenses and Costs - Advertising, promotional, and selling expenses rose 11.3% to $164.7 million due to increased investments in brand media and marketing, while general and administrative expenses increased by 2.5% to $44.9 million [6]. - The company anticipates advertising expenses to increase by $50-$60 million, up from a previous estimate of $30-$50 million [13]. Financial Position - As of September 27, 2025, Boston Beer had cash and cash equivalents of $250.5 million and total stockholders' equity of $911 million, with $150 million available in its line of credit [7]. - The company repurchased shares worth $161.3 million year to date, with approximately $266 million remaining on its $1.6 billion share buyback expenditure limit [8]. Future Guidance - Boston Beer updated its 2025 financial guidance, expecting mid-single-digit declines in depletions and shipments, with price increases remaining at 1-2% [10][11]. - The gross margin forecast for 2025 is now 47-48%, reflecting a change due to lower-than-expected tariff impacts [12]. - Capital spending is now projected at $50-$70 million, down from the previous range of $70-$90 million [14].