Market Overview - Bitcoin has risen back above 110,000, and the NASDAQ has posted a record close, indicating a potential return of the risk-on trade [1] - The S&P 500 is up more than 15% year-to-date, surpassing expectations despite challenges such as government shutdowns and tariff issues [1][2] S&P 500 Predictions - The S&P year-end target was set at 6,600, with expectations for an explosive recovery in markets [2] - Currently, the S&P is at 6,800, and a typical year could see an additional gain of 4%, potentially pushing it over 7,000 by year-end [3] - Given market skepticism, there is potential for gains exceeding 4%, possibly reaching 10% by year-end [4] Cryptocurrency Insights - A significant deleveraging event occurred in the crypto market on October 10, influenced by escalating US-China trade tensions, marking the largest liquidation event in five years [5] - Open interest for both Bitcoin and Ethereum is at record lows, while technical indicators are turning positive, suggesting a potential crypto rally by year-end [6] - JP Morgan's openness to using crypto as collateral is seen as a positive development for the market [6] Market Indicators - Cryptocurrencies are viewed as early indicators of stock market direction and liquidity [7] - The recent liquidation event in crypto, where Bitcoin only dropped 3-4%, suggests it is proving to be a good store of value [8] - Ethereum is experiencing significant activity growth, particularly in Layer 1 and Layer 2, which is not yet reflected in its price [9]
I think you're going to see a crypto rally into year end, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
Youtube·2025-10-24 20:48