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大佬们公开唱反调!
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-25 08:01

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Supreme Court ruling on November 5 regarding the legality of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration is seen as a critical test of Trump's economic policies, which could reshape U.S. trade dynamics and have significant implications for the global economy [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Perspectives - Nearly 50 economists, including former Federal Reserve Chairs Bernanke and Yellen, have urged the Supreme Court to overturn the tariffs, arguing that they are based on a fundamental misunderstanding of global economics [4]. - The economists contend that trade deficits are a result of macroeconomic imbalances rather than a security threat, and that tariffs have led to increased costs for American households, raising annual expenses by $2,400 [4][5]. - The potential ruling could require the U.S. government to refund between $750 billion to $1 trillion in tariffs, which would have catastrophic effects on the Treasury and could undermine existing trade agreements [3][4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, gold prices experienced significant volatility, initially dropping below $4,070 before rising above $4,110, only to decline again [1]. - The CPI data for September showed a year-over-year increase of 3%, which was below expectations, and core inflation rose by only 0.2%, the slowest growth in three months [6][7]. - The release of the CPI data has cleared the way for anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as indicated by previous comments from Fed Chair Powell [7]. Group 3: Fund Flows and Investment Trends - Despite a historic drop in gold prices, gold funds saw record inflows, attracting $8.7 billion in a week, with total inflows over the past four months reaching $50 billion, surpassing the cumulative inflows of the previous 14 years [10][13]. - In the context of broader market trends, stock funds are projected to attract $693 billion, cash funds $1.1 trillion, and gold funds $108 billion in inflows, marking significant historical records [13][14]. - The ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies has become a central factor in market volatility, challenging investors' asset allocation strategies [14].