If You'd Invested $150 in Rivian Stock 4 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

Core Insights - Rivian Automotive, an electric vehicle manufacturer, has seen its stock price plummet from a peak of $172.01 post-IPO to approximately $13, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 [4][10] - The company faced challenges including supply chain issues, factory shutdowns, and a decline in consumer demand due to inflation and high interest rates, which have impacted its production and delivery rates [12][10] Company Performance - Rivian produced 24,337 vehicles and delivered 20,332 in 2022, but increased production to 57,232 vehicles and delivered 50,122 in 2023 [9][8] - The company expects to deliver between 40,000 to 46,000 vehicles in the current year, indicating a slowdown in growth [9][12] - Revenue for Rivian was $1.66 billion in 2022, increasing to $4.43 billion in 2023, with projections of $4.97 billion in 2024 [9][13] Financial Metrics - Rivian's market cap is currently around $16 billion, with a gross margin of -988.16% [7] - The company reported a net income loss of $6.75 billion in 2022, which narrowed to $5.43 billion in 2023, with expectations of further narrowing to $4.75 billion in 2024 [9][13] Future Outlook - Analysts predict a revenue increase of 32% to nearly $7 billion in 2026, driven by the launch of the R2 SUV and stabilization of existing vehicle sales [14] - By 2027, revenue is expected to surge by 62% to $11.32 billion, assuming successful scaling of R2 production and new plant operations in Georgia [15] Investment Considerations - Rivian's stock trades at just over 2 times next year's expected sales, compared to Tesla's 13 times, suggesting potential for speculative investment [16] - The upcoming launch of the R2 SUV is critical for Rivian's future success and could significantly impact its stock valuation [16]