平安银行(000001)1H25业绩点评:利润降幅继续收窄 零售贷款止跌回稳

Core Viewpoint - Ping An Bank reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025, but the rate of decline has narrowed compared to the first half of the year, indicating some stabilization in performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 9M25 was CNY 100.67 billion, down 9.8% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.3 percentage points compared to 1H25 [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 38.34 billion, down 3.5% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.4 percentage points compared to 1H25 [1]. - Net interest income decreased by 8.2% year-on-year, but the decline rate improved by 1.1 percentage points compared to 1H25, primarily due to a reduction in the drag from interest margins [2]. - Non-interest income from fees and commissions fell by only 0.1% year-on-year, an improvement from a 2.0% decline in 1H25, driven by strong growth in wealth management fees [2]. Asset Quality and Loan Performance - The bank's loan balance at the end of 9M25 was CNY 3.4178 trillion, up 1.0% year-on-year, marking a recovery from a decline of 0.1% at the end of 1H25 [3]. - Retail loans showed a positive trend, with a quarterly increase of CNY 3.2 billion, ending an eight-quarter decline, supported by a reduction in high-risk loans and growth in mid-risk products [3]. - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.05%, with retail NPLs improving and corporate NPLs also under control [6]. Strategic Outlook - The bank's retail strategy transformation has shown significant results, with improvements in asset quality and a stabilization in retail loan growth [4]. - The bank is expected to benefit from policy support for retail credit demand, with projections for net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 43.24 billion, CNY 44.49 billion, and CNY 46.52 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting a slight decline followed by growth [4].