黄金行情“急转直下” 有色金属或面临价值重估

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices has faced a significant technical correction, leading to substantial declines in gold ETFs and related stocks, while other metals like copper and rare earths are undergoing a revaluation process [1][4]. Summary of Gold ETFs and Stocks - Following a record high on October 20, gold prices plummeted on October 21, with London spot gold dropping 5.31% to $4,124.36 per ounce, marking the largest single-day decline since April 2013 [1]. - Gold stock ETFs experienced notable declines, with the Guotai CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock ETF falling 7.60%, leading the market, while several others saw declines exceeding 6% [1][2]. - Year-to-date performance shows significant gains for various gold ETFs, with some increasing over 80%, while others rose more than 50% [2]. Cautious Approach to Gold Volatility - Analysts indicate that gold price fluctuations reflect market confidence in the global monetary system, with gold often becoming a key asset during shifts in central bank policies [3]. - The recent downturn is attributed to an overheated market following rapid price increases, necessitating a technical correction [3][4]. Revaluation of Non-Gold Metals - The precious metals market is experiencing volatility, with copper maintaining strong performance despite concerns over supply and demand [4]. - The investment landscape for non-gold metals is categorized into three segments: precious metals, industrial metals, and rare metals, each influenced by different factors such as geopolitical risks and supply-demand dynamics [4][5]. Investment Outlook for Various Metals - The recent correction in gold is linked to easing geopolitical tensions and profit-taking, yet it retains long-term asset allocation value [5]. - Silver's future remains uncertain, closely tied to geopolitical developments and Federal Reserve actions [5]. - Copper faces a "double weakness" scenario in supply and demand, while rare earths are expected to maintain a positive outlook due to their strategic importance [5][6].