银华基金和玮： 知行合一 将持有人体验放在首位

Core Viewpoint - The ideal investment product is one that investors occasionally remember but mostly forget, focusing on risk-reward ratio and client experience rather than extreme rankings or market hype [1] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy emphasizes a long-term perspective, prioritizing safety margins and a steady return over time [1][2] - The manager's experience with large funds has shaped a calm and steady investment approach, particularly during market volatility [2] - The focus is on fundamental value assessment rather than short-term emotional trading, with a preference for "left-side" and "contrarian" investment strategies [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy has shifted towards longer holding periods, with a focus on identifying industries with long-term potential and verifying them through macro and industry analysis [3] - Valuation is a critical factor in determining risk-reward ratios, with an emphasis on static and dynamic return on equity (ROE) assessments [3][4] - The manager avoids high valuation and crowded trades to reduce portfolio volatility [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The manager holds a positive long-term view on the A-share market, believing it to be undervalued and resilient against external disturbances [7] - There is a strong focus on the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by a long-term outlook on the decline of the dollar credit system [7][8] - Demand for gold remains robust due to its status as a preferred reserve asset for central banks, providing long-term support for gold prices [7] Group 4: Sector Analysis - Copper and aluminum are highlighted as metals closely linked to the growth of new energy sectors, with increasing demand and constrained supply [8] - The manager expresses caution regarding certain technology stocks, drawing parallels between the current AI wave and the 2000 internet bubble, emphasizing the risks associated with financing environments [8][9] - The strategy involves maintaining a lower exposure to high-risk tech assets while focusing on other sectors to provide stable returns and minimize volatility [9]