近期抛物线式上涨后 国际黄金可能正在筑顶
Jin Tou Wang·2025-10-26 23:32

Group 1 - The core CPI for September increased by 3.0% year-on-year, slightly up from 2.9% in August, but below the market consensus of 3.1% [2] - The overall CPI also rose by 3.0% year-on-year, indicating persistent inflationary pressures, yet it provided some buffer for the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting [3] - The market reacted moderately positively, with the dollar index dropping by 0.3% and international gold prices surging by $30 to $4089 per ounce, reflecting a tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and easing expectations [3] Group 2 - Gold prices experienced volatility, initially rising before sharply declining to the $4000 support level, with increased trading volume suggesting a potential formation of a market top [4] - The $4000 level is critical for market focus, and a drop below this could lead to a further decline towards the $3800 target, which is seen as a healthy normalization after previous parabolic gains [4] - A correction in gold prices is viewed as necessary to digest the excess market bubble accumulated over the past months, although a drop below $3800 could signal more significant issues for the market [4]