俄乌局势扰动,油价低位反弹 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-10-27 01:21

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent developments in the oil processing industry, highlighting a rebound in international oil prices due to easing trade tensions and supportive inventory data [1][2]. Oil Price Review - As of October 24, 2025, Brent crude oil futures settled at $65.20 per barrel, up $3.91 per barrel (+6.38%) from the previous week, while WTI crude oil futures settled at $61.50 per barrel, up $4.35 per barrel (+7.61%) [2]. - The Urals crude oil spot price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while the ESPO crude oil spot price increased by $2.62 per barrel (+4.54%) to $60.35 per barrel [2]. Offshore Drilling Services - As of October 20, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs decreased by 3 to 370, with reductions in Africa, the Middle East, North America, and other regions, while Europe saw an increase of 1 rig [2]. - The number of global offshore floating drilling rigs remained unchanged at 132, with decreases in Africa and Europe, and increases in Southeast Asia and other regions [2]. U.S. Crude Oil Supply - As of October 17, 2025, U.S. crude oil production was 13.629 million barrels per day, a decrease of 0.07 million barrels per day from the previous week [3]. - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. increased by 2 to 420 as of October 24, 2025, while the number of hydraulic fracturing fleets increased by 3 to 178 [3]. U.S. Crude Oil Demand - As of October 17, 2025, U.S. refinery crude oil processing volume was 15.730 million barrels per day, an increase of 0.600 million barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 88.60%, up 2.9 percentage points from the previous week [3]. U.S. Crude Oil Inventory - As of October 17, 2025, total U.S. crude oil inventory was 831 million barrels, a decrease of 0.142 million barrels (-0.02%) from the previous week [3]. - Strategic crude oil inventory increased by 0.819 million barrels (+0.20%) to 409 million barrels, while commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 0.961 million barrels (-0.23%) to 423 million barrels [3]. U.S. Refined Oil Inventory - As of October 17, 2025, U.S. gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel inventories were 21,667.9 million barrels, 11,555.1 million barrels, and 4,292.9 million barrels, respectively, with changes of -0.2147 million barrels (-0.98%), +0.028 million barrels (+0.18%), and -0.1485 million barrels (-3.34%) [4]. Biofuel Prices - As of October 24, 2025, the FOB price for ester-based biodiesel was $1,190 per ton, while hydrocarbon-based biodiesel was $1,900 per ton, both unchanged from the previous week [4]. - The FOB price for biojet fuel in China was $2,400 per ton, and in Europe, it was $2,710 per ton, both remaining stable [4].