高技术制造业带动作用明显，工业利润累计增速创去年8月以来新高

Core Insights - In September, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 21.6% year-on-year, with a 1.2 percentage point rise compared to August. For the first nine months, profits rose by 3.2%, marking the highest cumulative growth rate since August of the previous year [1] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors showed rapid growth, contributing to the overall profit increase of industrial enterprises [1][2] Group 1: Profit Growth - For the first nine months, the manufacturing sector grew by 9.9%, accelerating by 2.5 percentage points compared to the previous period [1] - The electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector grew by 10.3%, up by 0.9 percentage points [1] - In contrast, the mining sector saw a decline of 29.3%, although the rate of decline narrowed by 1.3 percentage points [1] Group 2: High-tech Manufacturing Impact - High-tech manufacturing profits increased by 8.7% year-on-year for the first nine months, contributing 1.6 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [2] - In September, high-tech manufacturing profits surged by 26.8%, contributing 6.1 percentage points to the monthly profit growth [2] - Specific sectors within high-tech manufacturing, such as aerospace and smart devices, reported significant profit increases, with aerospace profits up by 11.3% and smart consumer devices up by 81.6% [2] Group 3: Equipment Manufacturing - Equipment manufacturing profits rose by 9.4% year-on-year, exceeding the average growth rate of all industrial enterprises by 6.2 percentage points [2] - In September, equipment manufacturing profits grew by 25.6%, contributing 10.5 percentage points to the overall profit growth for that month [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The chief economist at China Minsheng Bank anticipates a continued moderate recovery in industrial enterprise profits, with steady cumulative growth expected [2] - Policy emphasis on sustained efforts and timely adjustments is expected to support profit quality and market competition [3] - Ongoing "anti-involution" measures may improve supply-demand dynamics in certain industries, although some manufacturing sectors may face structural downward pressure [3]