Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-10-27 02:36Core Viewpoint - The lithium mining sector experienced significant gains on the 27th, with notable increases in stock prices for several companies, driven by strong demand for energy storage and power batteries in China [1] Industry Summary - From January to September 2025, China's production of power and energy storage batteries reached 1121.9 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 62.7%, significantly higher than the growth rate in 2024 [1] - Energy storage battery sales during the same period saw a year-on-year growth of 75.5%, with tender capacity increasing by 178% [1] - According to CITIC Securities, the demand for energy storage batteries is expected to exceed expectations due to policy support, with improvements in battery capacity and trade-in policies boosting demand for power batteries [1] Supply and Demand Outlook - The peak investment period in the lithium industry has passed, with future growth primarily coming from increased production or ramp-up of existing projects, leading to a gradual decline in the growth rate of lithium resource supply [1] - As of September, the inventory-to-sales ratio for lithium salt refineries dropped to 28%, reaching levels seen in 2022, indicating that lithium salt inventory levels are at their limit [1] - Forecasts suggest global lithium supply surplus from 2025 to 2028 will be 101,000 tons, 78,000 tons, 29,000 tons, and 11,000 tons respectively, indicating a gradual shift towards a balanced supply-demand scenario [1] - Lithium prices are expected to stabilize at a range of 80,000 to 100,000 yuan per ton by 2026, with potential for price recovery as the market adjusts [1] Investment Recommendations - Companies with low-cost operations and high-quality mining assets are recommended for attention as they may benefit from the rebound in lithium prices [1]