智通财经网·2025-10-27 03:22Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock has experienced a decline, reaching a new low since April 2023, amid expectations of slightly lower-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings due to smartphone gross margin and IoT revenue underperformance [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Citigroup forecasts Xiaomi's adjusted net profit to reach 10.2 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 64% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5% [1] - The decline in smartphone gross margin is attributed to unfavorable regional mix and rising memory prices, while IoT revenue is impacted by the weakening effect of Chinese subsidies [1] Business Segment Insights - Huatai Securities anticipates that Xiaomi's automotive business may achieve profitability in Q3 [1] - Despite the backdrop of rising storage prices, Xiaomi's strategy to focus on high-end smartphones is expected to mitigate some industry challenges, maintaining a gross margin of around 11% in the second half of the year [1] - The IoT business is projected to sustain strong gross margins in Q3, despite the impact of reduced national subsidies on revenue growth [1] - The internet business continues to show steady performance [1]