金鹰基金：风格均衡应对年内资金压力 中长期主线仍围绕科技产业

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a fluctuating upward trend last week, with a significant increase in market risk appetite. The Shanghai Composite Index briefly surpassed 3950 points, reaching a ten-year high, while the ChiNext Index performed particularly well [1] - The easing of China-US trade tensions, with both sides agreeing to hold new economic consultations, has boosted market sentiment. President Trump is expected to meet with Chinese leaders at the end of the month [1] - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market fell to 1.8 trillion yuan, but structural capital activity remained high. The overall market style was characterized by growth outperforming financials, cyclicals, and consumption [1] Sector Analysis - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy, which is expected to create a trillion-yuan market and drive sector valuations and performance expectations upward [1] - The financial sector, particularly the securities segment, benefited from deepening capital market reforms and improved trading activity, leading to a noticeable improvement in sentiment. Several small and medium-sized banks have lowered deposit rates, alleviating interest margin pressure and enhancing profit expectations [1] - The coal sector is experiencing production constraints, coupled with increased demand expectations due to colder weather across many regions, which has positively influenced sector sentiment [1] - Within the consumption sector, there is a divergence in performance, with discretionary consumption outperforming staples. Essential consumption sectors like food and beverage and agriculture are showing weaker performance due to sluggish sales [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy suggests a balanced approach to cope with funding pressures throughout the year, with a long-term focus on the technology sector. The emphasis on technological productivity in the "14th Five-Year Plan" aligns with market expectations, while military industry mentions may lead to short-term performance [3] - There has been no significant shift towards domestic consumption policies, indicating that market styles may not pivot towards domestic demand consumption [3] - The technology sector is currently undergoing a phase of digesting funding pressures, with a focus on performance-supported areas such as overseas computing, storage, consumer electronics, and wind energy storage. The necessity for reallocation among certain tech stocks may be limited, with expectations of entering a range trading phase [3] - Value investment choices are driven more by industry and individual stock logic, with attention on non-bank financials (brokerage/insurance/financial IT), export chains (non-ferrous metals/grid equipment/construction machinery), and high-dividend consumer blue chips [3]