白银td走势震荡小涨 CPI数据提升降息概率

Group 1 - The overall CPI in the US for September increased by only 0.3% month-on-month, lower than the expected 0.4% [2] - The year-on-year CPI growth remained at 3%, also below the expected 3.1% [2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.2% month-on-month and 3% year-on-year, both below expectations, indicating a significant easing of inflationary pressures [2] Group 2 - Following the CPI report, US Treasury yields across all maturities declined, with the 10-year yield dropping to 3.966%, falling below the 4% mark [2] - The market perceives a higher likelihood of the Federal Reserve implementing interest rate cuts in the near term, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut at the upcoming October meeting nearing 100% [2] - The probability of a second rate cut in December has surged to 98.5%, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more accommodative stance by year-end [2] Group 3 - The current trading price of silver T+D is above 11350, with a slight increase of 0.28% reported at 11382 yuan/kg [1] - The highest price reached today was 11481 yuan/kg, while the lowest was 11267 yuan/kg, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in silver T+D [1] - Key resistance levels for silver T+D are noted at 11400-11800, with support levels at 10000-11200 [3]