IEA执行董事：石油过剩将抑制近期油价上涨并趋于平缓

Core Viewpoint - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that oil prices will stabilize due to ample supply, driven by increased production in the Americas and OPEC+ policy adjustments, alongside slowing demand growth [1] Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The IEA's Executive Director, Fatih Birol, states that the oil market is expected to remain stable without significant geopolitical events, with only a minor boost to prices anticipated from potential US-China trade agreements [1] - Oil production growth in the "Five Americas" (the United States, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, and Argentina) has outpaced demand growth, leading to an oversupply in the oil market [1] - Demand growth is slowing primarily due to China's gradual reduction in reliance on heavy industry and fuel-powered vehicles [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The IEA has raised its forecast for oil surplus by 2026, predicting a record level of oversupply by that time [1] Group 3: Market Reactions - Recent US sanctions on major Russian oil producers have raised concerns about actual oil supply, resulting in a nearly 8% increase in crude oil prices [1] - Indian refineries, as major buyers of Russian oil, have announced a halt in purchases, and some Chinese refineries are also experiencing panic-driven stoppages in procurement [1]