Stocks rally, safe-havens retreat on trade deal optimism

Core Insights - Global stocks experienced a rebound, driven by easing trade tensions between China and the U.S., marking a positive start to a week filled with central bank meetings and major earnings reports [1][2]. Group 1: Trade Developments - Top economic officials from China and the U.S. outlined a trade deal framework for Presidents Trump and Xi to consider, which could halt further U.S. tariffs and Chinese export controls on rare earths [2]. - The positive sentiment from trade discussions led to significant stock gains in Asia, with South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan reaching record highs [3]. Group 2: Market Reactions - U.S. stock futures surged, with Nasdaq futures increasing by 1% and S&P 500 futures rising by 0.7%, reflecting investor optimism regarding the trade truce [4]. - The Chinese yuan strengthened to a one-month high against the dollar at 7.1091, indicating market confidence in the trade negotiations [5]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China set the official midpoint rate at 7.0881 per dollar, the strongest since October 15, 2024, suggesting potential for further yuan appreciation if a trade deal is finalized [6]. - Safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasury prices declined, with gold falling 1.3% to $4,058 an ounce and the 10-year bond yield rising by 3.1 basis points to 4.027% [7]. Group 4: Upcoming Events - Investor attention is shifting towards central bank meetings scheduled in Japan, Canada, Europe, and the United States this week, which could influence market dynamics [8].