Eni Lifts Buyback and Outlook After Strong Q3 Driven by Upstream Growth

Core Insights - Eni S.p.A. reported strong third-quarter 2025 results with a 6% year-on-year production growth and record upstream performance, leading to an increase in full-year cash flow outlook and a 20% rise in share buyback program to €1.8 billion [1][2] Financial Performance - Proforma EBIT reached €3 billion and net profit was €1.2 billion, which is 20% above expectations, while operating cash flow stood at €3.3 billion despite weaker oil prices and a stronger euro [2][6] - Full-year cash flow from operations before working capital is now expected to be €12 billion, up from €11.5 billion, with a buyback plan increase of €300 million [2] - Gross capital expenditure was €2 billion, and net debt is reported at €9.9 billion, maintaining a proforma leverage ratio of 12% [6] Production and Upstream Growth - Eni's upstream division was a key growth driver, with oil and gas production climbing to 1.76 million barrels of oil equivalent per day [3] - Significant milestones included the final investment decision on the Coral North FLNG project in Mozambique, the sale of a 30% stake in Côte d'Ivoire's Baleine field for €1 billion, and the early launch of the Agogo West Hub in Angola [3] Energy Transition Strategy - Eni is advancing its energy transition strategy, with its renewables arm, Plenitude, achieving 4.8 GW of installed capacity and targeting 5.5 GW by year-end [4] - The company is converting refining hubs to biofuel and circular production, while its chemicals arm, Versalis, is shifting towards battery and recycling ventures [4] - A new satellite joint venture with Global Infrastructure Partners aims to expand Eni's carbon capture and storage (CCUS) portfolio, with a €2 billion investment from Ares Fund into Plenitude nearing completion [4] Strategic Structure and Value Generation - Eni's "satellite" model, which involves spinning off specialized entities like Plenitude, Enilive, and Azule Energy, continues to generate value and steady cash inflow [5] - This strategic structure allows the company to maintain a leverage ratio of just 12% on a pro forma basis, ensuring accelerated growth and stable dividends while maintaining balance sheet strength [5]