又降了！92号汽油跌回“6元时代”

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in domestic gasoline and diesel prices due to fluctuations in international oil prices, marking the ninth price cut of the year [1][2]. Price Adjustment Summary - As of October 27, 2023, gasoline prices will decrease by 265 yuan per ton and diesel prices by 255 yuan per ton, resulting in a reduction of approximately 0.21 yuan for 92-octane gasoline and 0.22 yuan for diesel per liter [1]. - After the adjustment, the price of 92-octane gasoline will range from 6.8 to 6.9 yuan per liter, while diesel will be priced between 6.5 and 6.7 yuan per liter [1]. International Oil Market Analysis - The initial phase of the price adjustment was influenced by a reduction in geopolitical risk premiums due to easing tensions in the Middle East, alongside increased production from OPEC+ [2]. - Brent crude oil prices fell to around 61 USD per barrel, the lowest in six months, but later rebounded due to uncertainties regarding Russian oil supply and postponed US-Russia summit [2]. - Despite the rebound, the average international oil price remains significantly lower than in the previous adjustment cycle, indicating a general downward trend [2]. Future Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that geopolitical tensions and ongoing sanctions against certain oil-producing countries may provide short-term support for international oil prices, but the overall market is expected to remain in a state of oversupply [2][3]. - The International Energy Agency has raised its forecast for global oil supply growth, predicting a surplus of approximately 4 million barrels per day next year, which may limit upward price movements [2].