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香农芯创股价暴涨背后:存储芯片“批发商”是如何被推上风口的?

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Shannon Chip Innovation (300475.SZ) has surged by 234% from September 5, 2025, to October 27, 2025, significantly outperforming the growth of the ChiNext Composite Index, which only increased by 9.89% during the same period. This surge is attributed to the current price increase in storage chips, despite the company's financial performance not reflecting this growth [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Shannon Chip Innovation reported revenue of 26.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.90%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.36% to 359 million yuan [2]. - The company’s stock trading has been marked by significant volatility, with management indicating that the operational performance has not changed in line with the stock price increase, suggesting potential irrational speculation in the market [3]. Business Model - The company primarily operates as a distributor of electronic components, with 97.03% of its revenue coming from this segment, amounting to 16.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2025. The remaining revenue comes from its original business in washing machine parts [4]. - Shannon Chip Innovation holds distribution rights for major manufacturers like SK Hynix and MTK, selling products primarily to large internet service providers and ODMs [4]. Inventory Management - The company employs two procurement models: "order-based procurement" to minimize inventory risks and "stock procurement" based on market demand forecasts. The former provides stable margins, while the latter aims to capitalize on market fluctuations [6][7]. Market Positioning - The company’s high rolling P/E ratio of 239 suggests that the market is valuing its potential in self-developed chips and AI computing capabilities, despite its distribution business being the main revenue driver [8]. - Shannon Chip Innovation is developing its own brand of storage products, "Haipu Storage," and has made investments in AI computing through a joint venture, indicating a strategic shift towards higher value-added services [9][10]. Industry Outlook - The ongoing price increase in storage chips is expected to continue, with major players like SK Hynix and Samsung predicting a positive outlook for the semiconductor market in 2026, including significant price hikes for DRAM contracts [14][15].