依依股份(001206)季报点评:海外基地投产&并购“高爷家” 加码宠物赛道布局

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, but net profit showed a positive growth, indicating resilience in its financial performance despite external challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.306 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.72%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 157 million yuan, an increase of 3.82%. The net profit margin improved due to increased fair value changes [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 418 million yuan, down 16.98% year-on-year, with net profit of 54 million yuan, a decrease of 2.23% [1]. - The operating cash flow for Q1-Q3 2025 increased by 249.45% to 264 million yuan, primarily due to higher cash receipts from sales [1]. Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a dual-market strategy to enhance risk resilience and promote long-term performance recovery, with a gradual recovery in orders and a shift towards inventory replenishment by clients [2]. - The company is expanding its domestic market through various channels, including online platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu, and participating in pet fairs to strengthen brand recognition [2]. - Internationally, the company is advancing its globalization strategy, successfully acquiring around 20 new clients and launching its first overseas production base in Cambodia, which is expected to produce 300 million pet pads annually [2]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company improved its gross margin to 20.12% for Q1-Q3 2025, up 0.55 percentage points year-on-year, and net profit margin to 12.00%, up 0.53 percentage points [3]. - In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 22.57%, an increase of 1.90 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost control and a slight decrease in raw material costs [3]. Expense Management - The company reported a period expense ratio of 5.53% for Q1-Q3 2025, up 0.23 percentage points year-on-year, with increases in sales and management expenses attributed to brand promotion efforts [4]. - In Q3 2025, the period expense ratio rose to 6.85%, with sales expenses increasing due to higher promotional costs [4]. Mergers and Acquisitions - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through acquisitions, planning to officially acquire "Gao Ye Jia" to strengthen its position in the domestic pet market and complement its product offerings [5]. - This acquisition will leverage Gao Ye Jia's e-commerce experience to improve the company's online operations and support its international expansion [5]. Investment Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the pet economy, with expectations of revenue growth driven by existing and new customer expansions. However, short-term policy impacts have led to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [6]. - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 1.966 billion, 2.322 billion, and 2.698 billion yuan, with net profits of 232 million, 276 million, and 328 million yuan respectively [6].