Time To Buy The Dip In Kenvue Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Kenvue, the consumer healthcare spin-off from Johnson & Johnson, has seen its stock price decline significantly, currently around $15, which is over 65% lower than its highs in 2023, raising questions about whether this represents a long-term buying opportunity or a value trap [2] Company Performance - Kenvue has issued cautious guidance indicating lower-than-expected profit growth due to currency challenges and a decline in demand for cough and cold products [3] - The company has undergone a leadership change with CEO Thibaut Mongon resigning as part of a strategic review [3] - Kenvue is involved in a lawsuit in the U.K. concerning alleged asbestos contamination in baby powder, which has revived investor concerns related to Johnson & Johnson's ongoing talc litigation [3] - Negative news linking Tylenol to developmental issues in children has unsettled retail sentiment, despite the claims being unverified [3] Financial Fundamentals - Kenvue controls a strong consumer health portfolio with globally recognized brands such as Tylenol, Motrin, Neutrogena, Aveeno, and Listerine, which have strong pricing power and consistent demand [4] - The company generates over $1.6 billion in annual free cash flow, has moderate debt levels, and maintains operating margins around 17%, providing financial flexibility [4] Valuation Insights - Kenvue's market value is approximately $27 billion, trading at a lower valuation than competitors like Haleon and Procter & Gamble's health division [5] - Earnings growth in 2025 is expected to be modest, but a strategic update from management could improve sentiment if it indicates credible plans for margin improvement or brand portfolio streamlining [5] Investor Sentiment - Legal and reputational issues are expected to persist, and the CEO's departure introduces uncertainty regarding execution [6] - Until there is clarity on liability from the courts and a long-term strategy from new leadership, the stock may struggle to see significant re-rating [6] - Kenvue appears fundamentally undervalued but faces sentiment challenges, making it potentially appealing for long-term investors seeking stable cash-flow exposure in the consumer healthcare sector [7] - A cautious approach may be advisable in the near term, waiting for signs of a market bottom and clearer direction from management [7] Long-term Outlook - Over a 12- to 24-month outlook, Kenvue's brand strength and cash flow generation suggest that the current sell-off could represent a buying opportunity rather than a permanent decline [8]