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创东方投资合伙人卢刚:一级市场冷、二级市场热医药投资为何“冰火两重天”?

Core Insights - The current state of the biopharmaceutical market shows a stark contrast between the primary and secondary markets, a situation not seen in the past five years [1] - Since 2022, the investment enthusiasm in the biopharmaceutical sector has declined, leading to challenges such as reduced R&D efficiency and insufficient commercialization [1][3] - Key areas for new development in the biopharmaceutical industry include overseas licensing, AI healthcare, and improved payment systems [1][7] Market Dynamics - The primary market is primarily funded by state-owned capital, while market-driven funds have not yet returned [2][3] - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a significant option for biopharmaceutical companies to go public, although there is a notable disparity in market performance [2][3] - The secondary market, particularly in Hong Kong, has seen continuous growth, driven by innovative drug companies reaching the delivery stage [3] Investment Trends - The investment landscape has shifted, with a focus on companies that can demonstrate strong overseas licensing capabilities as a measure of competitiveness [7][8] - The amount of overseas licensing for domestic innovative drugs reached $25.7 billion in 2023, surpassing the amount for technology introduced from abroad [7] - By 2025, the overseas licensing amount is expected to exceed $100 billion, indicating a significant trend towards global market engagement [7] Entrepreneurial Guidance - Entrepreneurs are advised to fully commit to their ventures and develop comprehensive strategic plans to navigate the current market environment [5][6] - Effective communication between entrepreneurs and investors is crucial for capitalizing on growth opportunities [5][6] - Companies should avoid the pressure of rapid expansion and instead focus on aligning their development pace with market demands and financial conditions [6] Future Outlook - The biopharmaceutical industry is expected to benefit from policy improvements and technological advancements, creating new growth opportunities [7][8] - The ability to adapt to external policy risks, particularly in overseas markets, will be essential for companies looking to expand internationally [8] - The long-term investment horizon in the biopharmaceutical sector remains promising, despite the current challenges [8]