Delayed Headwinds in U.S. and China Trade, High Stakes Earnings Week

Trade Negotiations - The potential framework deal between the US and China is generating optimism in the market, particularly with the delay of the 100% tariff increase on China set for November 1st [2][3] - China is expected to ease export restrictions on critical minerals for at least a year, and there may be purchases of US soybeans by China [3][4] - The framework is seen as addressing about 60% of key issues, but unresolved matters remain, particularly regarding industrial policy and geopolitical tensions, especially with Taiwan [4] Market Reactions - There has been a selloff in critical mineral and rare earth stocks, attributed to stretched valuations and potential easing of demand due to the framework deal [9][10] - The market is experiencing a rotation, with funds moving from speculative stocks in the critical minerals sector to more traditional sectors like technology [12] Earnings Reports - Approximately 175 S&P 500 companies are set to report earnings, with expectations of exceeding street forecasts for both topline and bottom line growth [14] - Companies like Meta and Microsoft are under scrutiny, with Meta facing risks related to capital expenditure and Microsoft showing optimism due to recent price target upgrades [15][16] - The semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from positive earnings reports, particularly from companies like Nvidia and AMD, if capital expenditures remain stable [17]