Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway has been downgraded to "underperform" by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods due to several factors including lower car insurance margins, tariffs, falling interest rates, smaller clean energy tax credits, and the impending departure of Warren Buffett as CEO [1][5]. Group 1: Downgrade and Target Price - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Meyer Shields has cut the target price for Berkshire Hathaway's Class A shares from $740,000 to $700,000 [1]. - The downgrade to "underperform" is notable as such ratings are rare on Wall Street [2]. Group 2: Impact of Buffett's Departure - Warren Buffett plans to hand over the CEO title to Vice Chairman Greg Abel in January, although he will remain as chairman [3]. - Since the announcement of this management change on May 3, Berkshire Class A shares have underperformed the S&P 500 by over 28 percentage points [3][7]. - Buffett's departure is expected to negatively impact investor confidence due to his unmatched reputation and perceived inadequate disclosure [9]. Group 3: Business Challenges - Berkshire's Geico car insurance business is anticipated to see an increase in the percentage of premiums used for accident claims after two years of decline, as it lowers rates and enhances marketing efforts to regain market share from competitors like Progressive [4]. - The BNSF railroad's focus on the western US makes it vulnerable to higher tariffs and reduced trade with Asian countries, particularly China [4]. - Falling interest rates are projected to decrease income from Berkshire's cash holdings, which were reported at $344.1 billion as of June 30 [8]. - The accelerated phase-out of renewable energy tax credits under recent legislation could limit profitability for Berkshire Hathaway Energy [8].
Berkshire Hathaway stock gets rare downgrade — and a major concern is Warren Buffett's departure as CEO