Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-10-27 20:33Core Viewpoint - The thermal power industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability driven by a decline in thermal coal prices year-on-year and an increase in electricity demand during peak summer months, with companies like Jianneng Power and Jiantou Energy reporting significant profit growth [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Jianneng Power reported a revenue of 26.16 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 0.49%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.17 billion yuan, up 125.66% [2]. - Waneng Power's third-quarter revenue was 8.59 billion yuan, a 0.56% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 824 million yuan, reflecting a 60.95% growth [2]. - Jiantou Energy expects a net profit of 1.583 billion yuan for the first three quarters, marking a 231.75% increase year-on-year, primarily due to lower coal prices and reduced operational costs [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The decline in thermal coal prices and the increase in electricity demand during the summer are key factors contributing to the profitability recovery of thermal power companies [4]. - The stability of electricity prices in northern thermal power companies is expected to lead to performance growth that exceeds the industry average [4]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have introduced guidelines to enhance the electricity market system, indicating a shift towards a more market-oriented approach [4]. Group 3: Coal Price Trends - As of October 24, the price of Shanxi-produced thermal coal reached 770 yuan per ton, the upper limit set by the National Development and Reform Commission for long-term coal prices [5]. - Analysts predict that the current round of thermal coal price increases may be nearing an end, but there are concerns about potential supply tightening due to ongoing production checks in coal mines [5]. - The execution of "anti-involution" policies may lead to unexpected increases in coal prices, which could impact the recovery pace of thermal power profitability [5].