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投资吸引力下降,内外部压力重重,巨量资金转移海外引德国担忧
Huan Qiu Shi Bao·2025-10-27 22:55

Core Insights - The article highlights the alarming trend of German companies increasingly relocating investments overseas, with over €200 billion leaving Germany annually over the past five years, primarily due to high energy costs, external competition, and U.S. tariff policies [1][6][7]. Group 1: Investment Trends - 70% of energy-intensive companies in Germany are shifting investments abroad, with 31% actively moving production outside Europe and 42% preferring to invest in other European countries rather than Germany [1][4]. - The total outflow of investments from Germany has reached €34.52 billion over the past decades, with an average annual outflow exceeding €200 billion [6][7]. Group 2: Economic Challenges - The German economy is facing stagnation, with GDP expected to remain flat from the end of 2021 to the end of 2024, primarily due to a 4.2% decline in exports from 2022 to 2024 [2][3]. - The chemical giant Bayer reported a sixfold increase in net losses in Q2, amounting to €199 million, reflecting the broader struggles within the German industrial sector [2]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Investment Decisions - High energy costs driven by EU climate policies and rising carbon certificate prices are significant burdens for companies, leading to calls for the cancellation of CO2 fees [4][5]. - Political uncertainty and a lack of confidence in government reforms are causing businesses to hesitate in investing domestically, with 80% of surveyed companies expressing pessimism about improvements in the business environment [4][5]. Group 4: Global Competition - The U.S. tariff policies under the Trump administration are exerting additional pressure on Germany's energy-intensive industries, with companies like Schott adjusting their investment strategies to favor locations outside Germany [5][8]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with emerging markets like China and India becoming more attractive for investment, as evidenced by BASF's new production facility in Guangdong, China [8].