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AI拉动先进逻辑及存储需求,半导体设备受益 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-10-28 01:40

Core Insights - The global semiconductor equipment sales are projected to reach a record high of $125.5 billion by 2025, driven by capacity expansion for advanced logic and memory to support AI applications and technological iterations across various market segments [1][2] Group 1: Semiconductor Equipment Market - The demand for semiconductor equipment continues to grow, with advanced logic and memory technology iterations leading to upgraded equipment requirements [2] - China is expected to maintain its lead in global 300mm equipment spending, with total investments projected to reach $94 billion from 2026 to 2028 [1][2] - The evolution towards more advanced processes in logic will further drive demand for etching, thin film deposition, bonding, and coating equipment [2] Group 2: AI and Semiconductor Demand - AI demand is significantly boosting the growth of the logic and memory markets, with data center investments expected to rise from $17 billion in 2020 to $45.3 billion by 2028 [3] - OpenAI plans to deploy a total of 6 GW of AMD GPU computing power, estimating that $50 billion will be needed to bring 1 GW of AI computing online, with two-thirds allocated for chips and supporting data center infrastructure [3] - The overall revenue for AI semiconductors is projected to grow from $8.2 billion in 2020 to $41.3 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.4% [3] Group 3: Supply Chain and Domestic Production - There are ongoing supply chain challenges, with limitations on acquiring key semiconductor equipment, particularly for advanced chip manufacturing [4] - The U.S. Congress is proposing broader bans on the sale of chip manufacturing tools to China, which could impact the availability of advanced technology [4] - Domestic demand for AI chips is expected to increase as China progresses with its computing infrastructure, following NVIDIA's complete exit from the Chinese market [5]