Core Viewpoint - The easing of global trade tensions has led to a decline in safe-haven assets like gold and silver, with U.S. stocks reaching new highs, while the market anticipates potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Analysis - New Lake Futures indicates that the easing of global trade tensions has reduced risk aversion, resulting in pressure on precious metals [1] - The liquidity in the London silver market has significantly improved, with silver leasing rates dropping from 35% to 4%, leading to increased selling pressure on silver [1] - Analysts from City Index and FOREX.com note that improved market sentiment regarding trade has diminished the demand for gold as a hedge, with a critical psychological level at $4000 per ounce [3] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities suggests that gold is no longer a wise short-term investment due to high volatility and crowded trades, recommending a wait for lower entry points around $3800-$3900 per ounce for long-term positioning [2] - Capitalight's research indicates that the current decline in gold prices is a corrective sell-off rather than a structural downturn, maintaining a constructive long-term outlook for gold [3] - The potential for further declines in gold prices exists, but geopolitical factors, ongoing central bank gold purchases, and a weakening dollar are expected to provide medium to long-term support for gold prices [2][3]
机构看金市:10月28日