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研报掘金丨平安证券:青岛啤酒盈利能力改善,维持“推荐”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-10-28 07:46

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Beer achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.3 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.7% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.4 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.6% [1] - The beer sales volume in Q3 2025 reached 2.16 million kiloliters, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% [1] Product Structure and Strategy - The sales volume of the main brand Qingdao and other brands in Q3 2025 were 1.28 million and 0.89 million kiloliters, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +4.4% and -5.5% [1] - Sales volume for mid-to-high-end products was 0.94 million kiloliters, up by 6.8% year-on-year, while other products saw a decline of 4.5% to 1.22 million kiloliters [1] - The company is advancing its brand strategy of "Qingdao Beer main brand + Laoshan Beer as a national second brand" and is accelerating the development of the "1+1+1+2+N" product combination [1] Profitability and Forecast - The company is benefiting from raw material cost advantages, leading to improved profitability [1] - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 4.63 billion, 4.90 billion, and 5.11 billion yuan, respectively, from previous estimates of 4.66 billion, 4.94 billion, and 5.18 billion yuan [1] - The company's competitive position is expected to continue to strengthen [1]