综述丨国际金价面临下行压力

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are facing downward pressure following a week of significant sell-offs, with New York gold futures dropping below $4000 per ounce, indicating potential further declines in the short term [1]. Group 1: Market Trends - After a period of consolidation, international gold prices rose from around $3300 per ounce to over $4000, reaching a historical high of $4381.21 on October 20, driven by geopolitical changes, global economic uncertainty, Federal Reserve rate cuts, and increased central bank gold purchases [2]. - The most actively traded December gold futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell approximately 2.9% to close at $4019.70 [1]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The recent decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced short-term driving factors, profit-taking by investors following previous price increases, alleviated concerns over international trade tensions, and a rise in investor risk appetite [1]. - Analysts from Citigroup suggest that expectations of trade agreements between the U.S. and other countries, along with the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, may exert downward pressure on gold prices, with a possibility of falling back to $3800 within the next three months [1]. - John Reed from the World Gold Council noted that demand for gold from central banks has weakened compared to previous levels, indicating that a deeper market adjustment could provide some breathing space for professional traders [1].