中煤能源(601898)公司点评报告:煤价环升叠加降本 业绩稳健致远可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-28 08:28

Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 110.6 billion yuan, down 21.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 12.5 billion yuan, down 14.6% year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 36.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.8 billion yuan, down 1.0% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters, the company sold 19.036 million tons of commodity coal, a decrease of 7.4% year-on-year, with self-produced coal sales at 10.145 million tons, an increase of 1.1% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of coal was 469 yuan/ton, down 18.2% year-on-year, while the average price for self-produced coal was 474 yuan/ton, down 17% year-on-year [2] Cost and Margin Insights - The cost of self-produced commodity coal was 258 yuan/ton, down 10.1% year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 216 yuan/ton, down 23.9% year-on-year [2] - The company’s coal revenue was 89.3 billion yuan, down 24.2% year-on-year, with operating costs at 66.8 billion yuan, down 24.6% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit of 22.5 billion yuan, down 23.0% year-on-year [2] Product Performance - The company saw a significant improvement in methanol profitability, with methanol sales of 1.5 million tons, up 24.0% year-on-year, and a gross profit of 488 yuan/ton, an increase of 502 yuan [3] - Urea sales increased by 19.5% year-on-year, while the average price decreased by 18.2% [3] New Capacity and Projects - The company is advancing new coal, electricity, and renewable energy projects, including the commissioning of new coal mines and the construction of coal chemical projects [3] - The company is also implementing several photovoltaic projects and accelerating the development of renewable energy initiatives [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 17.0 billion yuan, 18.5 billion yuan, and 19.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year changes of -11.89%, +8.36%, and +5.25% respectively [4]