Henan Zhongfu Industrial (SH:600595) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-28 12:29Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 earnings, showing a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, indicating strong operational performance despite market challenges [1]. Revenue Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 16.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.6% [1]. - Quarterly revenue for Q1, Q2, and Q3 was 5.0 billion, 5.6 billion, and 6.1 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3%, -4%, and +6% [1]. Profitability - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 1.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 63% [1]. - Quarterly net profit for Q1, Q2, and Q3 was 230 million, 480 million, and 480 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 427%, 19%, and 69% [1]. Production Capacity - The company completed the acquisition of a 24% stake in Zhongfu Aluminum, increasing its ownership to 100%, which raised its electrolytic aluminum production capacity to 750,000 tons per year [1]. Pricing and Cost - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in Q3 was 20,711 yuan per ton, up 6% year-on-year and 3% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The alumina price was 3,165 yuan per ton, down 19% year-on-year but up 4% quarter-on-quarter, leading to an increase in electrolytic aluminum costs by 208 yuan per ton [3]. Industry Profitability - The profit for the electrolytic aluminum industry in Q3 was 4,125 yuan per ton, representing a year-on-year increase of 128% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% [4]. Sustainability Initiatives - The company is advancing its "green, digital, and intelligent" initiatives, including the construction of distributed photovoltaic projects and increasing the proportion of green energy consumption [4]. - As of mid-2025, the company added approximately 21.5 MW of grid-connected capacity, totaling about 77.55 MW [4]. - The proportion of recycled aluminum in deep-processed aluminum products reached 61%, further reducing the carbon footprint [4]. Carbon Management - The company is establishing a carbon emission data management system for its deep-processed aluminum products to comply with carbon footprint management and EU carbon tariff policies [5]. - Key products have received carbon footprint certification, and the company has achieved significant technological advancements in producing ultra-thin can materials [5]. Investment Outlook - As a leading player in the aluminum industry, the company is expected to leverage its resource and cost advantages for growth, with projected net profits of 1.8 billion, 2.3 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [5]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating with projected price-to-earnings ratios of 14.5, 11.1, and 9.4 for the same period [5].